Covid-19 scenario by Ministry of Public Health, Thailand when lockdown ends in Thailand  from now until September 

The first scenario, effective until May 16

The first scenario is if Thailand continues the lockdown measures announced under the emergency decree [1], we will have approximately 15 new cases per day and three reported cases per day,” Dr Taweesin Visanuyothin, CCSA spokesman, said on Friday (May 15). "The number of critical patients who need to stay in ICU and use ventilation machines will be 15, which is easily manageable."

[1] An effectiveness of air flight ban had mothing to do with emergency decree in an announcement by deputy Prime Minister. 

          The second scenario, effective from May 17

The second scenario is when the country starts to ease lockdown measures and lets certain businesses to operate as usual; we may have approximately 114 new cases per day and 24 reported cases per day,” he said. “We will also have 105 critical patients who need ventilation machines; our medical facilities and equipment should be adequate.”

The second scenario is the most suitable option for us, said Taweesin of CCSA.

                             The third scenario

The third scenario projects the situation when Thailand lifts all lockdown measures and allows all businesses to resume. The daily new cases could jump to 398 with 65 reported cases daily and 289 critical patients.